Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.017294 0.019035 0.020792 0.022693 0.024687 0.026714 0.028926
2025-07-13 0.014200 0.016939 0.019819 0.023054 0.026564 0.030242 0.034368
2025-07-20 0.011904 0.015200 0.018788 0.022935 0.027550 0.032490 0.038137
2025-07-27 0.010161 0.013814 0.017914 0.022770 0.028288 0.034294 0.041264
2025-08-03 0.009200 0.013192 0.017787 0.023337 0.029745 0.036811 0.045098
2025-08-10 0.008003 0.012165 0.017087 0.023154 0.030272 0.038221 0.047641
2025-08-17 0.006945 0.011207 0.016385 0.022895 0.030648 0.039406 0.049883
2025-08-24 0.006107 0.010448 0.015864 0.022795 0.031161 0.040710 0.052226
2025-08-31 0.005322 0.009689 0.015284 0.022577 0.031495 0.041774 0.054267
2025-09-07 0.004689 0.009077 0.014848 0.022497 0.031964 0.042971 0.056439
2025-09-14 0.003997 0.008319 0.014173 0.022077 0.031988 0.043619 0.057953
2025-09-21 0.003387 0.007617 0.013527 0.021657 0.031982 0.044206 0.059374
2025-09-28 0.002640 0.006652 0.012509 0.020770 0.031436 0.044211 0.060198
2025-10-05 0.002324 0.006348 0.012399 0.021075 0.032395 0.046052 0.063232
2025-10-12 0.001932 0.005860 0.011992 0.020958 0.032804 0.047212 0.065449
2025-10-19 0.001583 0.005391 0.011575 0.020801 0.033139 0.048269 0.067531
2025-10-26 0.001432 0.005273 0.011672 0.021340 0.034367 0.050419 0.070927
2025-11-02 0.001153 0.004850 0.011273 0.021167 0.034653 0.051394 0.072896
2025-11-09 0.000902 0.004427 0.010839 0.020920 0.034825 0.052216 0.074669
2025-11-16 0.000712 0.004094 0.010523 0.020825 0.035183 0.053260 0.076706
2025-11-23 0.000536 0.003741 0.010145 0.020617 0.035377 0.054087 0.078470
2025-11-30 0.000405 0.003460 0.009867 0.020541 0.035737 0.055116 0.080476
2025-12-07 0.000267 0.003083 0.009388 0.020143 0.035642 0.055556 0.081747